In fact, Moore's Law
became so well known that it turned into an industry objective for competing companies.
Against the regular predictions of its demise, Moore's Law
endures and remains essential to today's generation, which has come to expect and enjoy the experiences and opportunities defined by the observation.
Maybe Moore's Law
is taking a hiatus while a new phenomenon takes shape, one that may result in the same disruptive products but without requiring those products to rely on exponentially enhanced capability coming out of continually shrinking components.
, as everyone knows, is the observation that, over the history of computing hardware, the number of transistors in a dense integrated circuit has doubled approximately every two years.
A video interview with Colin Harris, founder and chief operating officer of PMC-Sierra , on the rising density benefit gap in Moore's Law
from a fabless semiconductor perspective , has been pre-released and is available for download at www.
The leaders of both Intel and Oregon need to think about what will become of their company when Moore's Law
- the first, the second or both - meets Stein's Law.
To keep Moore's Law
alive, researchers have for some time been investigating alternatives to silicon, which could potentially produce a larger current even when operating at these smaller scales.
The American futurist applies Moore's law
to technology and propagates the Law of Accelerating Returns, according to which an exponential growth of technologies like Artificial Intelligence will improve memory and increase life expectancy.
, named after Intel co-founder Gordon Moore, says every two years transistor density will double, while increasing functionality and performance and decreasing costs.
When speaking of the future of semiconductor technology, Chang estimated that Moore's Law
, which concludes the number of components on an IC chip will double roughly every 18 months, will hit its limit in seven to eight years.
In fact, if Sun Microsystems co-founder and chief scientist is right, Moore's Law
will continue in operation far beyond 2010.
In the four decades since, Moore's law
has been the cornerstone of the computer industry, providing the predictability that hardware developers needed to confidently ride the price/performance curve and giving software developers and IT management the assurance that their future projects will find a powerful enough engine to drive them.