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Put differently, a youth in the treatment group had a 64% lower chance of recidivating than their comparison group counterpart.
supra note 77, do find that the likelihood of drug offenders recidivating is lower when they are sentenced to prison rather than probation, but their results also suggest that the length of the prison sentence has no impact on recidivism among this population.
121) The key assumption of a Cox proportional hazards model is that everyone has a base hazard function--the likelihood of recidivating at any point in time given that the person has not yet recidivated--and that personal characteristics merely transform this curve by a multiplicative constant.
The study resulted in a tool that aims to forecast which offenders pose the largest risk of recidivating and committing serious crimes.
Latessa also discussed the importance of assessing an offender's risk of recidivating.
Regardless of gender, services should be matched to offenders' likelihood of recidivating (Andrews, Zinger, Hoge, Bonta, Gendreau and Cullen, 1990; Andrews, Bonta and Hoge, 1990; Gendreau, 1996).
The positive program impact was evident even though the OWD group had overall characteristics suggesting they would be at greater risk of recidivating.
Blumstein and Nakamura believe that this model, which they continue to study and refine, makes it possible to identify when the risk of recidivating has declined sufficiently to be empirically regarded--based on an employer's particular parameters--as irrelevant in a hiring decision.
Little says inmates treated with MRT reduce their risk of recidivating by up to 60 percent in the short term with rates leveling off at about 20 percent after 10 years.
In addition, the majority of people released from prison had not completed any vocational training or substance abuse treatment, which would have reduced their chances of recidivating.
Maryland, like most states, used an assessment instrument that was normed on the male offender population, and because this instrument was normed on a population that posed a greater risk of recidivating (male offenders), the guidelines provided did not appropriately view the female offender population as low risk.